Ongoing projects


Mortality estimates in complex emergencies

Duration October, 2022

Mortality is one of the major key indicators used in assessing the level of needs in conflict-affected areas. This helps to better target humanitarian aid to the most vulnerable population. Recently, the global humanitarian sector has shown a great interest in finding improved ways to produce robust estimates of mortality in countries severely affected by armed conflicts. The project aims to employ the use of Bayesian methods in understanding the evolution of mortality in crisis-affected by utilization of data from small-scale surveys.

This research will contribute towards improving the tools that health providers use, enhancing the understanding of mortality patterns and better targeting aid for the populations at risk.

For more information, contact Thomas Jideofor Ogbu 



DAMOCLES (Understanding and Modelling Compound Climate and Weather Events)

Funding European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST)
Duration May, 2018 to September, 2022
DAMOCLES is a project funded by the European Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST). Compound Events are high-impact events whose causes or effects show a complex combination of factors and pose major challenges to risk assessment and management. Current climate and impact modelling efforts are very limited in their ability to model Compound Events, making it difficult to design appropriate adaptation strategies. DAMOCLES will (a) identify key process and variable combinations underpinning Compound Events; (b) describe the available statistical methods for modelling dependence in time, space, and between multiple variables; (c) identify data requirements needed to document, understand, and simulate Compound Events, and (d) propose an analysis framework to improve the assessment of Compound Events.

For more information, contact Joris van Loenhout


Improving Hospital Resilience to Disasters: Lessons from Nepal

Funding UCLouvain – Fonds Spéciaux de la Recherche; EACEA; USAID/OFDA
Duration July, 2017 to February, 2021

Hospitals are the most visible function of health systems after large disasters and are critical to minimize loss of life and morbidity. The concept of “resilient hospitals” has been increasingly recognized as a critical element of disaster reduction, being highlighted in priorities 1, 3, and 4 of the Sendai Framework for Action 2015-2030. However, critical efforts are still needed to understand the challenges disasters cause to hospitals in terms of patient profiles, disruptions in health services, and organizational aspects.

This project investigates the impact of a high-magnitude earthquake in a tertiary hospital in Nepal, and explores its post-disaster resilience mechanisms. It will unleash new understandings of hospital disaster resilience and will provide a solid evidence-base for the global community to improve disaster preparedness and response.

For more information, contact Maria Rodrigues Leal Moitinho De Almeida  




SCORCH: Supportive Risk Awareness and Communication to Reduce impact of Cross-Border Heatwaves

Funding EU ; Directorate-General for European Civil Protection and Humanitarian Aid Operations (ECHO)
Duration February, 2019 to January, 2021

Extreme temperatures are characterized as climatological hazards, this includes heat and cold waves, and extreme winter conditions. In the EU and neighboring countries, especially heat waves are considered a problem and are known to cause a rise in both morbidity and mortality. Heat waves are largely cross-border phenomena and ideally require a collective response and preparedness in order to reduce the associated costs and health effects while mitigating the impact on communities. Evidence-based risk communication is an appropriate strategy in this regard, particularly when tailored to vulnerable populations (e.g. elderly) and territories (e.g. cities). Such prevention measures would be a major contribution to disaster risk reduction (DRR) in urban settings.

The overall objective of this project is to reduce the health impact of heat waves on vulnerable, urban populations through improved risk communication strategies. These strategies will be informed by existing EU plans and guidelines, and by surveys on the risk perception and behavior of urban populations in EU neighborhood countries. In addition, we aim to foster a culture of prevention and cooperation across countries.

For more information, contact Joris van Loenhout or Kirsten Vanderplanken .

Zircon - This is a contributing Drupal Theme
Design by WeebPal.